ICML 2026PosterProbabilistic Methods

Allocating Variance to Maximize Expectation

Renato Leme, Clifford Stein, Yifeng Teng, Pratik Worah

Abstract

We design efficient approximation algorithms for maximizing the expectation of the supremum of families of Gaussian random variables. In particular, let OPT:=max⁡σ1,⋯ ,σnE∑j=1mmax⁡i∈SjXiOPT:=\max_{\sigma_1,\cdots,\sigma_n}\mathbb{E}\sum_{j=1}^{m}\max_{i\in S_j} X_i, where XiX_i are Gaussian, Sj⊂[n]S_j\subset[n] and ∑iσi2=1\sum_i\sigma_i^2=1, then our theoretical results include: - We characterize the optimal variance allocation -- it concentrates on a small subset of variables as ∣Sj∣|S_j| increases, - A polynomial time approximation scheme (PTAS) for computing OPT when m=1m=1, and - An O(log⁡n)O(\log n) approximation algorithm for computing OPT for general m>1m>1.

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